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2024-12-13 11:33:49

Treasury futures closed in early trading, with the main contract of 2-year Treasury futures (TS) falling by 0.06%, 5-year Treasury futures (TF) falling by 0.13%, 10-year Treasury futures (T) falling by 0.15% and 30-year Treasury futures (TL) falling by 0.26%.Bank of Communications International: In November, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles in the mainland was 52.3%, and the performance in December was optimistic. Bank of Communications International published a research report to give the mainland auto industry a leading rating. According to the report, the retail sales of passenger cars increased by 16.5% year-on-year in November; The retail penetration rate of new energy vehicles was 52.3%, exceeding 50% for the fifth consecutive month, and the retail sales of new energy vehicles increased by 50.5% year-on-year. In November, the export growth slowed down, and the proportion of new energy vehicles fell to 20%. The bank pointed out that considering that the Spring Festival in 2025 is earlier than that in 2024, some car purchases before the Spring Festival will be completed by the end of 2024, and the subsidy policy for trade-in will enter the final stage in December, and some car companies are also sprinting sales through promotional activities. The bank expects the passenger car market in December. It is expected to maintain the potential of the current retail sales to continue to increase year by year. However, after the sales sprint in December, the auto market entered the off-season of consumption, so it is necessary to be cautious that the stock price performance of the auto sector may fluctuate.Dong Xingliang, former director of the Drilling and Completion Office of CNOOC, was investigated. The website of the State Commission for Discipline Inspection of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection reported on December 11 that according to the news of the Discipline Inspection and Supervision Team of China Offshore Oil Group Co., Ltd. and the Supervision Committee of Jiangsu Provincial Commission for Discipline Inspection, Dong Xingliang, former director of the Drilling and Completion Office of CNOOC, was suspected of serious violation of discipline and law, and is currently under the discipline inspection and supervision of the Discipline Inspection and Supervision Team of China Offshore Oil Group Co., Ltd. and the Supervision Committee of Xuzhou City, Jiangsu Province.


Trader: The Indian central bank is suspected of selling dollars to limit the depreciation of Indian Rupee.Head of South Korea's senior public official crime investigation department: If the conditions are met, it will seek to arrest Yin Xiyue. The head of South Korea's senior public official crime investigation department said that if the conditions are met, the team will seek to arrest President Yin Xiyue or seek to issue an arrest warrant for him. On Wednesday, when answering questions raised by opposition lawmakers at the National Assembly meeting, Oh Dong-woon indicated that he had the intention to arrest Yin Xiyue.It is reported that the Bank of Japan believes that the cost of waiting for the next rate hike is not great, and the short-term earthquake of the yen market is reported. It is reported that the Bank of Japan believes that the cost of waiting for the next rate hike is not great. Some policy makers are not opposed to raising interest rates in December if it is proposed. It is said that officials believe that the next rate hike is only a matter of time, not whether to raise interest rates. In addition, they believe that there is little risk that the depreciation of the yen will push up inflationary pressure at this stage. The yen then fluctuated greatly. USD/JPY once fell to a low of 150.99, then rose by about 100 points, and now it is back to around 152. Judging from the current situation, traders expect the probability that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates by 25 basis points next week to be around 26%.


Local regulators have found out the situation of institutions purchasing unlicensed financial information service products. The reporter was informed that some local securities regulatory bureaus are finding out the situation of institutions purchasing unlicensed financial information service products. The regulatory requirements require the securities fund and futures-related operating institutions within their jurisdiction to self-inspect the purchase of foreign financial information service products without the permission of the National Network Information Office. The main contents include a brief description of financial information service products, the contact telephone number and email address of foreign institutions, and so on. According to relevant regulations, the provision of financial information services by foreign institutions in China must be approved. Up to now, a total of 31 foreign institutions and 10 enterprises invested and established by foreign institutions in China have been licensed to provide financial information services. (Cailian)Vietnam Customs: In November, the coffee export was 63,019 tons; Rubber exports are 230,574 tons.Before the Bank of Japan's policy meeting, it released chaotic signals. Japanese traders were confused about when to raise interest rates. After the Bank of Japan officials' remarks and media reports sent different signals, traders have been confused about when the central bank might raise interest rates in the past week. This kind of confusion led to sharp fluctuations in the market's interest rate hike bets. The overnight index swap pricing showed that the probability of raising interest rates in December was 22%, which was significantly lower than 60% at the beginning of last week. This week, the yen fell from 150 last Friday to a low of 152.18 to the dollar, and the exchange rate was 151.73 at 10:40 Tokyo time. Kazuo Ueda, governor of the Bank of Japan, said in an interview last month that the interest rate hike was approaching. A few days later, a report by the news agency emphasized the concern of the central bank about raising interest rates prematurely. Tomaki Nakamura, a member of the Dove Policy Committee, said last week that he was not opposed to raising interest rates, but this month's policy decision must consider data factors.

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